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Lev_Slav

Would Austria Survive WWI?

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Lev_Slav

Alright, I was wondering for a while, it could go both ways but say the Kaiserschlacht (Spring Offensive 1918) succeeded for Germany and the western allies were too exhausted to continue as Germany following the breach of the Hindenburg line and surrendered. Considering the fact that Austria-Hungary was very unstable not only due to ethnic tension but to war exhaustion by 1918 do you think they would survive the war intact? Or would they fall apart into a series of states as in the Treaty of Saint-Germain-en-Laye?

 

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Ken Lees

Who knows? Pure conjecture, whatever anyone's views. Maybe, maybe not.

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Ron Clifton

The ethnic tensions would almost certainly have continued, with the active encouragement of Serbia to help Slavs obtain independence, so I think the Empire would probably have collapsed anyway, although not as quickly.

 

Had Archduke Franz Ferdinand not been assassinated, there might have been a (fairly) peaceful transition to a form of federal government of the Empire, whether there had been a war or not. How long this might have lasted is another question.

 

Ron

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